PS3 to outsell Wii in the US?

[Kazzahdrane]

There are three kinds of lies: Lies, damned lies, and statistics.-Mark Twain

 

Numbers don't exactly lie, but if you know how to work them right, they can say anything you want them to.

 

My favourite quote regarding this sort of thing is the statistic from some study that concluded that by the year 2050, one in three humans will be an Elvis impersonator.

[Kaeporagaebora]

^I guess I bought my wig and suit about 44 years early, then.

 

This news is legit. Interpret's official website confirms it. And whilst it's not fact, these things are usually accurate from scale.

 

http://www.interpretllc.com/press.html

What makes you think we should trust Interpret? Excuse me, but I find it hard to trust a group that refuses to divulge anything they have done before, which also makes me think that they have not done anything before this.

Not to mention I believe that surveys are about as accurate at telling the future as a drunken monkey, but that's another story.

[Kurtle Squad]

To be honest, though I don't like Sony, as a company....well, the least most outta the 3 of them I wouldn't really mind if the PS3 did sell more, so long as Nintendo do well themselves and the competitors on this gen aren't just seen as Microsoft & Sony.

 

And Nintendo still get some ports (unlike the Cubes HUGE lack of them now) with added Wii functionality.

[Kaeporagaebora]

I only dislike Sony because every piece of electronics I bought from them abruptly stopped working, and I swear on this, within two weeks of the warranty expiring. It breaks your spirit.

 

In fact, sometimes I infiltrate Sony's main building and try to kill their president. Then I wake up.

[Dilli Gee]

What makes you think we should trust Interpret? Excuse me, but I find it hard to trust a group that refuses to divulge anything they have done before, which also makes me think that they have not done anything before this.

They wouldn't be very good at their jobs if they publically released all their information. Like Nielsen, they probably keep most things under wraps, and only their clients can release info.

 

And although they are a fairly new company (a WHOIS check says the website was registered only from March 22nd 2006), they're experienced.

 

http://biz.gamedaily.com/industry/myturn/?id=13999

[DCK]

Oh well, even if this 8.9 million is real (which I doubt), let's not forget this:

 

PS3 US stock this year: 400 000

Wii US stock this year: 2 000 000+

 

This isn't even competing any more.

[Dilli Gee]

So what? I think this report means over the course of a year, not just until December.

 

And of course there will be more PS3s available in the new year, especially for Europe too.

[solitanze]

Hirokazu Hamamura [Famitsu Chiefs] Console Sale Predictions:

 

PS3

 

JAPAN N.AMERICA EUROPE TOTAL

~12/2006 750,000 900,000 -- 1,650,000

~03/2007 1,080,000 1,850,000 1,200,000 4,130,000

~12/2007 2,470,000 5,900,000 3,600,000 11,970,000

~12/2008 4,210,000 11,300,000 8,000,000 23,510,000

~12/2009 6,050,000 15,400,000 12,600,000 34,050,000

~12/2010 8,120,000 18,700,000 16,100,000 42,920,000

 

 

WII

 

JAPAN N.AMERICA EUROPE TOTAL

~12/2006 980,000 1,100,000 1,000,000 3,080,000

~03/2007 1,670,000 2,400,000 1,400,000 5,470,000

~12/2007 3,380,000 4,200,000 2,900,000 10,480,000

~12/2008 5,490,000 8,100,000 4,600,000 18,190,000

~12/2009 7,140,000 11,500,000 6,100,000 24,740,000

~12/2010 8,590,000 14,500,000 7,300,000 30,390,000

 

Approximately a 33% rise in total sales for Nintendo if this becomes reality. But on the contrary, possibly as much as a 60% decline in sales for Sony according to these predicted sales figures.

 

FULL REPORT HERE [sOURCE]: http://wii.ign.com/articles/738/738886p1.html

[Zechs Merquise]

2000 people is far too small a group to estimate a whole country's buying from, especially a country as big as America. Mathematically it's nonsense. That sample is something like 0.0007% of the population.

 

What's more, I think Wii will perform better at launch in terms of overall sales than PS3 due to PS3 shortage and high price. However, who can tell in the long run? I do however think the Wii will do EXTREMELY well in Japan.

[Dilli Gee]

solitanze: your post supports the idea of PS3 selling more than Wii (an estimated 12.6 million more).

[solitanze]

solitanze: your post supports the idea of PS3 selling more than Wii (an estimated 12.6 million more).

 

If you had read the post carefully you would've seen that I didn't mention anywhere that Sony would sell less than Wii overall. It mentions that those numbers if they become a reality are significantly less than PS2 sales, even with the higher price point of PS3, more revenue would be lost with the additional losses made due to the costs of producing the advanced hardware inside the systems.

 

Thats the whole point of mentioning the decline in total units sold which if its to be believed that 100,000,000 PS2 consoles have been sold to date, 43 million in comparison is a massive decline compared to Nintendo having a significant increase in units sold compared to Gamecube thus eating away at the market share for video games, particularly Sony. Its what the majority of analysts have been saying, that Nintendo will narrow the gap between themselves and their fellow competitors and Sony will be worse off than last generation, but not necessarily shift from the top of the table.

[Dilli Gee]

Well these predictions are just that, predictions, and are not much different to that PS3 one the other day. We'll see is all I can really say.

 

I still think Nintendo will have an amazing launch, just like GameCube, and then a gradual tumble, just like GameCube.