Yvonne

Also I am a tracker, so that would make it even less likely!

vote No Lynch

Hi everyone! Still working weekends in LA, so my hours are erratic. Something I noticed from the previous day - double voter in the mix. Gonna check in again a bit later.

in space, no one can hear you lynch

can I be the burning kid?

aw. Guess it was my turn. Gonna keep an eye on this one. GG yo

night two!

mmm, not enough to go on today. vote No Lynch

Jonnas how does your power work and who did you target?

well that increases the chances that Diageo swapped himself for Jimbob

It could be, or it could be double redirection interaction. Note the flavour text that talks about people getting drunk, which includes Diageo. I would be surprised if the mafia didn't have a redirector. In fact, with a townie one dead, I am going to automatically vote for any redirector we find regardless of any other information unless they come out today.

Sounds like a sexy jailkeep! Marc was the date pre arranged or were you planning on meeting someone else that night?

I tried to reverse track Diageo which would have been fucking boss, but I was redirected to Jimbob, whom no one targeted.

vote no lynch

I am Dominic Gentry, town mayor. I'm a miller - townie but I appear evil under investigation. Best practice is to come out with it straight away.

I appear evil, telling you that now

elect Marcamillian (in)

Don't know where 5% came from... but anyway, it seems that we agree that no single strategy is a magic bullet for determining alignment.

You can only call any level of significance with 4 results if they're all positive or all negative... This also ignores that people grow and adapt to the data as it's being made. In essence I'm saying relying on past behaviour is a recipe for getting fooled in the future, especially when people know that's what you're doing.

Ahh I'm not going to be near my drawing gear until the 24th Feb so I can't really join in this time round

There's a difference between being able to call that during a game and calling that after the result is known, and even then you have false positives and false negatives. Now, if we ever played enough games to have meaningful statistical power, then we'd be able to talk about the significance properly.

Y'all should look up the texas sharpshooter fallacy

After mr-paul came out, all mafia action was pure survival. But if you thought actions previous to that were brash, that would bear looking at. What kind of things do you mean?

yesh please!